Source fields
Each state publishes slightly different fields. New Jersey exposes total tickets printed directly.
New York exposes tier odds and paid/remaining counts, so total tickets printed is estimated from
those tier odds. Connecticut exposes total tickets, overall odds, and remaining unclaimed prizes.
When Connecticut lists an annuity prize with a published cash option, EV uses the cash option value.
winningTickets: original winning tickets in that prize tier.paidTickets: winning tickets already paid.claimedTickets: winning tickets claimed but not necessarily paid yet.prizeAmount: prize value, stored by the feed in cents.totalTicketsPrinted: original ticket count for the game.overall_odds: NY listed odds, used to estimate total tickets printed.Unclaimed Prizes: CT remaining prizes for a tier.endDistributionDate: used to exclude games whose sales/distribution period has ended.
Remaining prizes
Remaining prizes are calculated tier by tier, then rolled up into total remaining winners and prize
money left.
NJ unavailable prizes = max(paidTickets, claimedTickets)
NJ remaining prizes = winningTickets - unavailable prizes
remaining tier value = remaining prizes * prize amount
remaining prize money = sum of remaining tier values
Adjusted EV
Expected value is the estimated average prize value of one ticket. Because the public feed does not
publish exact unsold-ticket inventory, the app estimates remaining tickets from prize availability.
prize availability = remaining winning tickets / original winning tickets
estimated tickets remaining = total tickets printed * prize availability
adjusted EV = remaining prize money / estimated tickets remaining
Adjusted return
Adjusted return expresses adjusted EV as a percentage of the ticket price. A $10 ticket with a $7.45
adjusted EV has a 74.5% adjusted return.
adjusted return = adjusted EV / ticket price
These values are useful for comparing games, but they are estimates. Exact current odds would require
live unsold-ticket or sales data that the public state feeds do not expose.